“Without stronger productivity, achieving the 3% growth rate President Donald Trump has set as a goal becomes more difficult."
The second straight monthly gain indicates consumer spending is picking up after rising only 1.1% in the first quarter.
Despite the March decline, the U.S. is still “on track to run another large trade gap in 2018 that exceeds the deficit in the prior year."
Growing protectionist views in the United States threaten to upset the economic status quo, Zurich finds.
Economists expect the GOP tax cuts to give a boost to GDP in Q2 but the economy may still fall short of President Trump's 3% target this year.
The decline in the proxy for business spending plans "is not a red flag for the economic outlook yet even if the caution light should be left on.”
"The big picture remains solid, with small firms as optimistic, and inclined to spend and hire, as [much as] they have ever been," the NFIB says.
The core PCE price index posted its biggest gain since April 2017 and appears to be on track to meet the Fed's 2% target.
The February gain in orders was a positive sign for business spending after declines in the previous two months.
The latest 0.25% increase indicates the Fed's confidence that the GOP tax cuts and government spending will boost the economy and inflation.
The February shortfall is an early indication of the effects of the GOP tax cuts, with withholding taxes falling 2%.
“We were able to create enough new jobs to accommodate new seekers and keep the unemployment rate steady," an economist says of the strong jobs report.