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Tool of the future? Core earnings an attempt to gauge business -- not bookkeeping -- gains.
Tim Reason and John Goff, CFO.com | US
May 14, 2002
Here's another metric to throw in your hopper.
This morning, ratings agency Standard & Poor's announced its adoption of a new yardstick for evaluating corporate performance. Called "core earnings," the measurement represents the difference between the revenue of a company's principal business and the costs and expenses associated with deriving that revenue.
S&P's management said it developed the core earnings calculation in response to the recent rash of corporate restatements and financial scandals. "[Accounting] creativity is definitely on the rise," noted David Blitzer, chief investment strategist at S&P, during a telephone conference. "But reliability is not."
The core earnings measurement starts with GAAP net income -- with a few significant alterations. First off, core earnings treats the cost of administering -- and contributing to -- an employee stock option program as an expense. That alone could have some serious implications for the earnings numbers of U.S. corporations. "Across the S&P 500," Blitzer claimed, "options expense would have reduced earnings by 10 percent."
Core earnings also factors in writeoffs and restructuring costs. According to S&P, these costs are adjustments to ongoing operations -- and should be treated as such. "Most of the time, these adjustments are just as real as if [a company] hadn't shut down an operation," notes Blitzer.
Interestingly, management at S&P decided to exclude goodwill impairment from its core earnings measurement -- a move that will undoubtedly rankle some feathers at FASB. "When goodwill is impaired, there is a loss in value," explains Blitzer. "So if [a company] takes a charge, it winds up having to pay for it twice."
S&P management says the company's analysts will consider core earnings when they analyze and review stocks. In addition, S&P will begin calculating core earnings per share for the company's U.S. indices -- the S&P 500, for example.
Such a rejigging could have a interesting effect on corporate price-to-earnings ratios. According to Blitzer, core earnings for most corporates will be lower than operating earnings -- the figure S&P had been using for its P/E calculations. When asked if the higher ratio means the market is still overvalued, he replied: "In the short term, yes. That maybe creates a little nervousness."
More than a little nervousness. But Blitzer thinks higher P/E figures pale in comparison to the larger issue at stake. "If we leave the current [accounting] situation unchanged and untouched," he argued, "investor confidence will slowly but surely seep away."